5.06.2012

Statistics

"The statistics may be that she's not going to come home alive, but, there's also a chance that whoever has her will bring her back safely ... Whoever has her will be found eventually."

"Statistically speaking, she's not OK. I hope that baby is strong enough not to become a statistic," said Jessica Reynolds, Trista's older sister.

"That baby" ?? Anybody know what statistics Jessica keeps talking about? 

21 comments:

  1. I'm not even going to try to decipher what the heck she is talking about.

    That sure is a pretty picturee of Ayla.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Looking At The Facts5/7/12, 5:57 AM

    I wonder why Jessica was talking about statistics on the day or the day after Ayla disappeared? Did she take time away from "watching her sister fall to pieces" to look them up? Where is Jessica?

    ReplyDelete
  3. I don't remember that quote from Jessica... "that baby"??

    Jessica: she's your niece and her name is Ayla

    ReplyDelete
  4. Praying for a Happy Summer for Ayla5/7/12, 11:12 AM

    My read on Jessica's statements is that she was responding to a print news story that had just come out. In the article an expert type commented that there is only a 1% chance of finding a child alive after it has been missing for more than 24 hours. I think it was a CBS or ABC news article--can't recall exactly now.

    I recall reading the story at the time. But it was clear that the expert was talking about the chance of recovery in a stranger abduction scenario. Those statistics have no bearing on the parental abduction or acquaintance abduction scenario. Stranger abductions often have a sexual motive, and so the child is killed due to the pathology of pedophile. Also, those statistics apply to abductions of children, not babies. When babies are taken by a stranger it is often a woman who wants to be a mother, rather than pedophile.

    But the whole article as I recall never once mentioned a parent/family or acquaintance abduction, so it really does not shed any light on Ayla's situation, where the child was taken by someone who cares about her.

    Ayla is likely alive and well, in my opinion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. SomefactsforJessica5/12/12, 6:36 PM

      By Barbara Goldberg
      NEW YORK | Thu Apr 26, 2012 3:31pm EDT
      (Reuters) - Anxiety over two cases of missing children in the news this week - New York's Etan Patz and Arizona's Isabel Mercedes Celis - masks an encouraging development in the search for U.S. boys and girls who disappear: More than 99 percent now return home alive.

      The likelihood of finding an abducted child has sharply increased in recent years due to technological advances in the way searches are conducted and a greater awareness that fast action saves lives, said Ernie Allen, president of the National Center for Missing & Exploited Children.

      That has boosted the recovery rate for missing children involved in the most dangerous cases in America to 97 percent in 2011 from 62 percent in 1990, according to the center's statistics. That rate is even higher when it includes all missing children, not just the highest-risk cases, which include abductions by a stranger or a family member wanted on a felony arrest warrant, Allen said.

      "More than 99 percent of children reported missing in America in recent years have come home alive," Allen told Reuters.

      Delete
  5. No one likes controversy any less than I do, but I also do not like false statements being perpetrated on readers, either.

    Jenn on Startthelies blog posted a blog post last week, within that blog post was the following statement:

    "Lastly, keep an eye out for the email dragons2d@gmail.com and the nickname "D.G." as that is Charla in disguise. She has spent the the past hour sending me harassing and threatening emails."

    I explained to Jenn in two emails (one on Friday and one early this morning) that the dragons2d@gmail.com is my anonymous email. I use this email when I do not know who I am dealing with or when I want information on the web, but do not want a lot of spam mail. It's my small bit of protection. I assumed that when I explained that the email was from me and not JSTL that Jenn would removed the false statement. I understand that the point of her blog is to discredit JSTL, but I had believed that she did not intend to discredit her with false information.

    I also sent a comment on her blog stating the above, she has approved other comments since I made my comment, but so far has not approved my explanation of the email and the fact she is falsely accusing JSTL.

    Normally, I would just not worry about it, or not respond, but I do not appreciate the fact that Jenn has ignored my efforts to correct her false assumption. People read that information and believe it and I know it’s not true.

    I have absolutely no idea why Jenn considered my emails to be harassment or threatening in any way. I do not send out threatening or harassing emails. That's not who I am. My emails to Jenn were to show her that a person’s IP address cannot be traced via gmail or yahoo mail, since she claimed she was not replying to emails because she was afraid of having her IP traced. I also sent her links that explained that inability.

    I hope that JSTL will post this comment so that at least the readers at both blogs will know that the information Jenn posted above is false and she was told it was false.

    Thank you,
    KJ

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you very much M.I.M.
      I always find your comments respectful of others, and I, and I'm sure most everyone appreciates that.

      Delete
  6. Apparently not in her maternal families opinion. They have stated right from the start even before "blood evidence" was introduced that Ayla was probably dead. That they were just "looking for closure". A lot of missing children's cases do not get the same exposure that Ayla's case has received. Maybe they were not expecting this? Maybe they would like it to just die down and go away. Closure?

    ReplyDelete
  7. ATTN JESSICA5/7/12, 2:24 PM

    Well, it's a good thing someone in the Reynolds Clan is so edumacated and can quote statistics.

    Oh....wait....just kidding.

    Hey Jessica- HER NAME IS AYLA!!!!

    While I have your attention, Jessica- could you answer some questions for me?

    How involved was Jeff with Trista PRIOR to Ayla going missing? Did he support her or you at all? Emotionally OR financially? Did he take the kids so you could have a break? Did he spend ANY time with them or you?

    Why is it that Trista could find both a ride and the time to go visit her other baby daddy in jail- but couldn't be bothered to make a trip to WTVL to visit her daughter...well, unless someone else was footing the bill (like, perhaps- JUSTIN. Awful nice of a guy to pay for her to take a bus up to see her daughter, pick her up at the bus station AND drive her to his house)....

    About that...HOW is it that Trista doesn't know the layout of the Violette Ave home? She has been there. She visited Ayla there. Was she drunk? Was she high? It seems your step daddy proclaims Trista can NOT tell a lie...so does she just not remember?? Or, is she a LIAR?

    Trista is pretty clearly pregnant again. Isn't OBD (Other Baby Daddy) in jail? Is she the virgin Mary now? How is the good saint pregnant unless she is sleeping around? So- I guess the questions is: When is Trista due AND who is the NBD (Next Baby Daddy)? Seems like NBD may have a reason to take Ayla. It sure would make his booty call happy.

    You said you bought the "Daddy's Little Princess" jammies in an attempt to send a message to Justin/a highly passive agressive move. This is a lie. Pheobe has a receipt as SHE bought them. Would you like to retract your statement?

    Lastly...WHERE are YOU? It is VERY odd that you have dissapeared nearly as quickly as Ayla.

    Ok, I lied. Here is the last one: WHERE IS AYLA?!?!?!?!

    ReplyDelete
  8. I saw trista last night wen i went to visit my childrens father. She is def. not pregnant. She was wearing a tshirt (not baggy) and she most def did not have any type of baby bump. So that theory goes right out the window.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You saw her at the prison? Your children's father is incarcerated with RayRay? Wow, small world...

      On second thought, she really visits him a lot, I guess that relationship with Justin wasn't so important after all.

      Delete
  9. ATTN JESSICA5/7/12, 7:37 PM

    Steph- even if I did believe you (which I DON'T- just to be clear), there is a whole list of questions there. While you were hangin' with Trista in the visitors lounge did you happen to ask her where she has hidden her daughter??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Why the fuck would I ask her that? You guys are all full of it, I'm sorry but I'm not gonna ask a hundred and one questions to her, pretty sure she gets that on a daily basis. Its probably nice to just have one person say hi and have a nice day without badgering her....oh and OBSCURE, you say small world? There are hundreds of people that are incarcerated with "RayRay" as you call him. And since you have looked up my info and displayed it already, you can probably go to my FB account and see that yes, my fiance is incarcerated, he is in for two years, yes he is in there with Ray, but that means nothing, many other ppl are as well. I just simply called you out on saying she's pregnant when she's not. Not looking for a huge argument like you seem to love.

      Delete
  10. Doesn't matter where we were, just thought it was a little rude to assume that she is pregnant(when clearly she isn't), without having her state the information to the public herself. I know as a blogger you would like new things to talk about, but you should really start picking and choosing your battles, this one was just stupid. I'm really not trying to be rude, just giving my brief opinion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you Ms. Freeman. I have noted your objection.

      Delete
    2. No problem, thanks for noting it.

      Delete
    3. Hey steph

      Love how u state trista "is" pregnant then in brackets ( clearly she isn't ). You then basically say its not polite for trista's pregnancy to be made public as she herself hasnt yet made any announcement ( gee wonder why). I think it's safe to assume that u are covering for her.

      I suggest maybe u shouldnt say anything at all.

      Delete
    4. Selena Johnson5/7/12, 10:39 PM

      Statistically which family would you trust?

      Statistically which family would AYLA be taken care of in a loving

      stable environment?

      Statistically...

      TRISTA

      •FRIENDS: One who does jail breaks for a pass time.

      •Mom: Doesn’t work and is on meds for depression and who knows what else.

      •Dads: One who seems to be doin a great job staying out of the spot

      light now. Why? Ron Sr was very vocal until Daddy Hanson decided to

      sweep Trista up and take her in. Daddy number two, Daddy Hanson, loves

      the lime light and the job of divvying up AYLA’S search money.

      •Burnboy, her baby daddy in prison for arson. (9 years)

      •Her future mother in law is the arsonist who told burnboy to burn.

      •Her future brother in law is a registered phediphile.

      •Her sister has had her babies taken away from her as she is an unfit

      mother

      > Has a drug and alcohol problem that needed to be taken care of at a

      rehab facility.

      > Is having an ongoing relationship with a man who lit

      an apartment building on fire that had babies in it.

      >doesnt work and lived in the streets and motels of Portland, until

      Daddy Hanson "came to the rescue."


      Justin

      •Mom works for the state as an analyst.

      •Older brother works.

      •Sister works, goes to school, and is raising Gabby.

      •Best friend, works as an insurance salesman.

      •Girlfriend is working on a degree as she raises a son.

      I just dont get it...Its like the world has done a flip flop over

      night. Why is the logic not flowing here? People who should want AYLA

      to be found safe and sound are bashing people who are out there day

      and night working on behalf of her, getting her face out there.

      NOTHING is as it should be. People find out that Justin has been

      working with these ladies to get over 70 bill boards up across the

      nation, still complain that he isnt doing anything to find AYLA.

      LE says they have no more questions for Justin, yet complain that he

      isnt talking? I just dont get it. I dont get it.

      Delete
    5. You're not the only Selena.

      Delete
    6. Selena's list cont..5/12/12, 6:43 PM

      Selena add to your list Justin works and goes to school to complete degree. Yes currently.

      Trista does not work. Lives off the state. Which is not a bad thing if you have plans to better yourself. Not seeing it though in past or present actions. Also has a current boyfriend along with burnboy. Yes that is a fact.

      Delete
  11. By Barbara Goldberg
    NEW YORK | Thu Apr 26, 2012 3:31pm EDT
    (Reuters) - Anxiety over two cases of missing children in the news this week - New York's Etan Patz and Arizona's Isabel Mercedes Celis - masks an encouraging development in the search for U.S. boys and girls who disappear: More than 99 percent now return home alive.

    The likelihood of finding an abducted child has sharply increased in recent years due to technological advances in the way searches are conducted and a greater awareness that fast action saves lives, said Ernie Allen, president of the National Center for Missing & Exploited Children.

    That has boosted the recovery rate for missing children involved in the most dangerous cases in America to 97 percent in 2011 from 62 percent in 1990, according to the center's statistics. That rate is even higher when it includes all missing children, not just the highest-risk cases, which include abductions by a stranger or a family member wanted on a felony arrest warrant, Allen said.

    "More than 99 percent of children reported missing in America in recent years have come home alive," Allen told Reuters.

    ReplyDelete

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